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MOLISE

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999         4437

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999             74

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

    327967  -0.39  14.89  65.29  19.82   40.09  42.80   53.16    110.24    157.02

2004

    321542  -0.49  13.18  65.84  20.98   41.47  44.34   51.89    130.09    189.69

2009

    317785  -0.52  11.47  67.14  21.39   42.91   45.90   48.94    151.31    223.27

2014

   305709  -0.61   10.69  67.11  22.20   44.17   47.23   49.00    169.87    247.43

2019

   296476  -0.72  10.51  65.92  23.57   45.39   48.40   51.69    186.30    264.00 

2024

   286039  -0.82  10.33  64.20  25.47   46.72   49.64   55.76    207.85    287.18

2029

   274472  -0.94    9.64  62.06  28.30   48.15   51.02   61.14    249.85    339.26

2034

   261869  -1.09    8.88  59.23  31.89   49.51   52.50   68.84    305.44    415.30 

2039

   247936  -1.30    8.43  56.43  35.14   50.65   53.87   77.21    352.39    484.65

2044

   232353      8.32  53.88  37.80   51.49   54.97   85.60    383.32    528.38

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100