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ABRUZZI

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999)   10794

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999)       116

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

    1255244  -0.24   14.71  66.01  19.28   40.09  42.75   51.49    108.62      154.68

2004

    1240366  -0.40   13.78  65.74  20.48   41.33  44.17   52.12    122.36      176.10

2009

    1215652  -0.58   12.53  66.15  21.32   42.69  45.69   51.18    139.31      202.30

2014

   1180778  -0.72   11.15  66.33  22.52   44.16  47.25   50.76    165.98     239.64

2019

   1139122  -0.74     9.86  66.05  24.09   45.66  48.74   51.40    202.15     288.53

2024

   1097884  -0.78     9.25  64.73  26.02   47.00  50.06   54.50    234.20     330.39

2029

   1055821  -0.91     9.26  62.06  28.68   48.21   51.31   61.13    259.48      362.85

2034

   1008789  -1.10     9.43  58.36  32.21   49.37   52.57   71.34    287.39     398.90

2039

     954471  -1.33     9.18  55.36  35.46   50.44   53.82   80.64    325.29     450.57

2044

     892915       8.65  53.43  37.92   51.34   54.91   87.16    368.91     511.39

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100