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MARCHE

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999).       9692

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999)          146

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

   1418703  -0.38  12.86   65.95  21.19   41.89   44.84   51.63    136.16    195.04

2004

   1391697  -0.54  12.48   64.68  22.84   43.10   46.19   54.61    150.55    216.98

2009

   1354491  -0.72  11.79   64.16  24.05    44.37    47.59   55.85    167.24    242.75

2014

  1306324   -0.88  10.69   63.95  25.36   45.71   49.03   56.37    194.13    282.40

2019

  1250135  -0.97    9.56   63.55  26.89   47.07   50.36   57.36    231.48     333.45

2024

  1190608  -1.07    8.76   62.47  28.77    48.34   51.62   60.07    272.37     387.13

2029

  1128432  -1.20    8.35   60.11  31.54   49.58   52.83   66.36    317.27     441.39

2034

  1062346  -1.39    8.08   56.90  35.02    50.77   54.03   75.76    366.87     502.51

2039

    990896  -1.61    7.72   54.10  38.18   51.87   55.24   84.85    419.94     572.55

2044

    914047      7.27   52.32  40.41   52.79   56.32  91.13    471.33     645.31

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100