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LOMBARDIA

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999)      23859 

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999) ..       372   

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

    8883865  -0.12   13.18 69.46 17.36   40.15  43.61  43.97    100.37     164.70

2004

   8831705  -0.28   13.34 67.13 19.53   41.63  45.02  48.97    114.67     179.72

2009

   8707716  -0.49   12.96  65.20  21.84   43.22  46.57  53.38    134.49     204.11

2014

   8494694  -0.68   11.66 64.20 24.14   44.88  48.22  55.77    167.52     248.45

2019

   8211730  -0.79   10.31 63.54 26.15   46.43  49.74  57.39    207.27     302.17

2024

   7892067  -0.89     9.54 62.34 28.12   47.74  51.03   60.41     243.15     348.62

2029

   7545806  -1.03     9.49 59.61 30.90   48.80  52.08  67.76     272.61     381.23

2034

   7164928  -1.21     9.70 55.65 34.65   49.66  52.97  79.68    304.01     413.47

2039

   6742526  -1.42     9.67 52.69   37.64    50.42   53.81  89.79    333.11     448.30

2044

   6279033       9.30 51.62  39.08   51.00  54.55  93.72    357.86     486.19

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100