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LIGURIA

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999)      5418

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999)        297

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

    1609517  -0.69 10.62 65.03  24.35   43.93  48.11   53.77    175.42     286.42

2004

    1554769  -0.82 11.09 62.88  26.03   44.94  49.18   59.04    180.99     290.81

2009

   1492228  -0.99 10.94 61.35  27.67   46.09  50.33   63.00    195.37     311.22

2014

   1420107  -1.12 10.09 60.61  29.30   47.33   51.54   64.99    227.38     356.34

2019

   1342495  -1.19   9.10 60.59  30.31   48.49  52.58    65.04    263.64     406.12

2024

   1264932  -1.23   8.62 59.78  31.60   49.49  53.43   67.27    294.88     442.01

2029

   1189194  -1.32   8.78 57.14  34.08   50.29  54.10   75.01    319.28     460.56

2034

   1113203  -1.45   9.15 53.19  37.66   50.94  54.66   88.01     345.64     480.90

2039

   1035005  -2.02   9.28 49.97   40.75   51.51  55.23 100.12     372.87     509.24

2044

     953585     9.02 49.25  41.73   51.91  55.76 103.04    390.49     538.99

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100