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EMILIA-ROMAGNA

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999).       22124

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999)            174

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

   3845305  -0.45 11.18 66.64 22.18   43.10   46.52   50.06    158.72    240.40

2004

   3758538  -0.59 11.82 64.33 23.85   44.17   47.68   55.44    162.14    243.60

2009

   3648649  -0.81 11.93 62.68 25.39   45.31   48.87   59.54    171.61    256.02

2014

   3504399   -0.97 11.01 61.80 27.19   46.61   50.19    61.81    200.57    295.81

2019

   3337940  -1.04   9.73 61.57 28.70   47.91   51.42   62.41    241.09    351.97

2024

   3167667  -1.10   8.86 60.53 30.61   49.05   52.50   65.21    285.31    408.60

2029

   2997759  -1.20   8.86 57.70 33.44   49.94   53.36   73.31    316.32     441.53

2034

   2823390  -1.36   9.31 53.74   36.95   50.61   54.05   86.08    337.65     458.87

2039

   2637613  -1.57   9.59 50.63 39.78   51.13   54.66   97.52    354.72     477.73

2044

   2437737     9.40 49.77 40.83   51.50   55.19 100.92     369.23     502.30

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100