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CALABRIA

 Population projections, by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999)     15080 

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999)         140

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

    2115093   0.27   18.46   66.03 15.51   36.75   39.03   51.44     70.21     98.51

2004

    2143668   0.16   17.44   66.16 16.40     37.85   40.23   51.14     78.18   110.69  

2009

    2161521   0.04   16.57   66.56 16.87   39.00   41.49   50.24     84.57   119.64

2014

    2165686  -0.08   15.62   66.70 17.68   40.21   42.76   49.93     94.70   132.56

2019

    2157186  -0.16   14.61   66.52 18.87   41.42   44.00   50.33   109.10     150.21

2024

    2140231  -0.23   13.76   65.82 20.42   42.64   45.22   51.93   126.39   171.62

2029

    2115742  -0.33   13.16   64.15 22.69   43.82   46.45   55.87   147.01   199.18

2034

    2081023  -0.48   12.72   61.84 25.44   44.92   47.69   61.71   170.15   231.46

2039

    2031842  -0.65   12.33   59.59 28.08   45.88   48.87   67.82   193.12   263.95

2044

    1966801     11.97   57.70 30.33   46.66   49.86   73.30   214.57   294.01

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100