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BASILICATA

 Population projections by region - Italy 1999-2044. Main systhesis of the results.

 (Estimations by Luciano Petrioli and Andrea Menchiari - Faculty of Economy -  University of Siena, Italy)

 Variant:  Tendential fertility and tendential mortality.

 

   Surface area (km2, year 1999)      9992

   Density (Population per square kilometre of surface area, year 1999)          62

 

   Year

   Population

 

 Annual

 rate of

 change

 (per

 100)

Popul.

 0-14 

(per

 100) 

 

Popul.

15-64

 (per 100)

 

 Popul.

65-W

(per

100)

 

           Mean  age  

    

Depend.

  ratio

(per 100) 

Ageing ratio

   (per 100)

Ageing ratio (per 100) 

   M

   F

     M          F

1999

    620060   0.17 17.49  65.59  16.92   37.90  40.10  52.46     83.07    111.22

2004

    625534   0.04 16.80  64.97  18.23    38.92  41.34   53.91     91.91    126.03

2009

    626926  -0.10 16.06  65.33  18.61   40.03  42.64  53.08     96.76    135.78

2014

    623696  -0.22 14.88  66.01  19.11   41.16  43.91  51.49   106.54     151.59

2019

    616974  -0.27 13.89  66.00  20.11   42.25  45.05  51.52   120.81    170.02

2024

    608564  -0.33 13.24    65.20  21.56   43.32  46.09  53.38   137.02    190.01

2029

    598576  -0.42 12.85  63.36  23.79   44.41  47.15  57.82   157.48    214.34

2034

    586128  -0.56 12.49  60.90  26.61   45.48  48.29  64.21   181.73    246.03

2039

    556982  --0.74 12.06  58.65  29.29   46.42  49.41  70.50   206.85    280.71

2044

    549117   11.67  56.93  31.40   47.15  50.33  75.64   229.01    311.27

 

                   

         *  Ageing ratio = [(Pop.65-w)/(Pop. 0-14)].100

           *  Dependency ratio = [(Pop.0-14  +  Pop.65-w) / pop.15-64].100